#dWP-VW.THINKTANK I Q4/2026

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G-7 Warns of ‘Excessive Imbalances’ in Global Economy (22.05.2025)

Finance ministers and central bank governors from the Group of Seven nations pledged to address “excessive imbalances” in the global economy, an effort clearly aimed at China, though the final communique omitted the name of the country.

G-7 Warns of ‘Excessive Imbalances’ in Global Economy (22.05.2025)

ECB Sees Financial Stability Risks From Escalating Global Trade Tensions 20.05.2025)

The European Central Bank warned that escalating global tariff tensions have emerged as a “significant concern” for financial stability and the global economy.

ECB Sees Financial Stability Risks From Escalating Global Trade Tensions 20.05.2025)

ECB Warns of Ripple Effects From Investors Questioning US Assets (21.05.2025)

The European Central Bank warned that heightened investor concern over the riskiness of US assets following Donald Trump’s tariff drive could further jolt the world’s financial system.

ECB Warns of Ripple Effects From Investors Questioning US Assets (21.05.2025)

Merz Advisers See Germany in Stagnation But Recovery in Sight (21.05.2025)

Germany’s economy will stagnate this year, though a recovery is in sight thanks to plans to ramp up government spending, Chancellor Friedrich Merz’s independent panel of experts said.

Merz Advisers See Germany in Stagnation But Recovery in Sight (21.05.2025)

Dimon Warns of US Stagflation Risk, Says Fed Is Right to Hold (22.05.2025)

JPMorgan Chase & Co. chief Jamie Dimon said he can’t rule out the US economy will fall into stagflation as the country faces huge risks from geopolitics, deficits and price pressures.

Dimon Warns of US Stagflation Risk, Says Fed Is Right to Hold (22.05.2025)

US Retail Sales Barely Rise, Suggesting Some Spending Pullback (15.05.2025)

Growth in US retail sales decelerated notably in April, suggesting consumers pulled back spending on cars, sporting goods and other categories of imported goods amid concerns about rising prices from tariffs.

US Retail Sales Barely Rise, Suggesting Some Spending Pullback (15.05.2025)

US PPI April 2025: Producer Prices Fall Unexpectedly as Margins Decline (15.05.2025)

Prices paid to US producers unexpectedly declined in April by the most in five years, largely reflecting a slump in margins, suggesting companies are absorbing some of the hit from higher tariffs.

US PPI April 2025: Producer Prices Fall Unexpectedly as Margins Decline (15.05.2025)

US Bonds Climb as Economic Data Backs Bets on Two 2025 Fed Cuts (15.05.2025)

Treasuries gained as a fresh spate of economic data offered signs of ebbing economic activity and dimming inflation, supporting bets that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates twice this year.

US Bonds Climb as Economic Data Backs Bets on Two 2025 Fed Cuts (15.05.2025)

Investors Await Another Monday Jolt After Moody’s Downgrades US (18.05.2025)

Investors face yet another bumpy start to the trading week, although it’s mounting concern over US debt rather than tariffs likely generating the volatility this time.

Investors Await Another Monday Jolt After Moody’s Downgrades US (18.05.2025)

Euro-Area Inflation to Fall Below 2% on US Tariffs, EU Predicts (19.05.2025)

Euro-area inflation will fall below the European Central Bank’s target next year because of fallout from US trade policies, according to the European Commission.

Euro-Area Inflation to Fall Below 2% on US Tariffs, EU Predicts (19.05.2025)

Jamie Dimon: Recession Remain Possibility On Tariff Fallout Says JPMorgan CEO (15.05.2025)

Recession remains a possibility as tariff fallout continues to buffet global economies, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co. Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon.

Jamie Dimon: Recession Remain Possibility On Tariff Fallout Says JPMorgan CEO (15.05.2025)

Euro Zone Grew Less Than Initially Reported at Start of Year (15.05.2025)

The euro-area economy expanded less than initially reported at the start of 2025, even before US tariffs that are expected to sap activity in the months ahead.

Euro Zone Grew Less Than Initially Reported at Start of Year (15.05.2025)

Trump Tariffs: US-China Trade War Exposes Europe to Wave of Cheap Goods (15.05.2025)

China’s widening trade surplus with the European Union is fueling fresh concerns that the 27-nation bloc risks becoming a dumping ground for cheap goods in the volatile tariff confrontation between Washington and Beijing.

Trump Tariffs: US-China Trade War Exposes Europe to Wave of Cheap Goods (15.05.2025)

Is the US Headed for Recession? Watch These Metrics (12.05.2025)

We’ve built a dashboard to help you figure out if we’re headed for a downturn.

Is the US Headed for Recession? Watch These Metrics (12.05.2025)

Annual inflation rate hit 2.3% in April, less than expected and lowest since 2021 (13.05.2025)

The consumer price index was expected to increase 0.2% in April for a 2.4% annual inflation rate.

Annual inflation rate hit 2.3% in April, less than expected and lowest since 2021 (13.05.2025)

Traders See Fed Cutting Rates Twice in 2025 on Cooling Trade War (12.05.2025)

Traders lowered their bets on the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate cuts this year, pricing in just two reductions for 2025 after the US and China agreed to cut tariffs and moderate their trade war.

Traders See Fed Cutting Rates Twice in 2025 on Cooling Trade War (12.05.2025)

ECB Needs Steady Hand and Mustn’t Overdo Rate Cuts, Schnabel Says (10.05.2025)

The European Central Bank needs a “steady hand” and mustn’t lower borrowing costs too much as inflation could turn out to be higher in the future, Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel said.

ECB Needs Steady Hand and Mustn’t Overdo Rate Cuts, Schnabel Says (10.05.2025)

ECB to Cut by More as Inflation Undershoots Target, Poll Shows (12.05.2025)

The European Central Bank will lower borrowing costs more than previously expected this year to below 2% as inflation is seen undershooting the institution’s target in early 2026, according to economists surveyed by Bloomberg.

ECB to Cut by More as Inflation Undershoots Target, Poll Shows (12.05.2025)

Powell Says Any Shock From Tariffs Hasn’t Hit Yet (07.05.2025)

Fed Meeting Today: Rate Cuts, Powell Speech, Live News & Analysis

Powell Says Any Shock From Tariffs Hasn’t Hit Yet (07.05.2025)

US-Notenbank trotzt Trump: Leitzins bleibt unverändert (07.05.2025)

FED ZINSENTSCHEID I 07.05.2025 I NOTIZEN M.E.STUBENBÖCK.pdf

FOMC Press Conference May 7, 2025

HINWEIS: VIDEOAUSSCHNITTE ZUR ZINSENTSCHEIDUNG/-PROGNOSE

11:50 I Wie ist der Fahrplan zum neuen SOFT-Landing-Szenario
41:40 I Warum wartet man noch, da SOFT-Daten zeigen Veränderung (Inflation+ARLO+), warum wartet man auf HARD-Daten - glaubt man den SOFT-Daten nicht

FOMC Press Conference May 7, 2025

FOMCpresconf20250507.pdf

monetary20250507a1.pdf

Creditreform: Pleiten stiegen in Europa 2024 (06.05.2025)

US-Handelsdefizit auf Rekordhoch gestiegen (06.05.2025)

Tariff Concerns Drive Global Food Prices to Two-Year High (02.05.2025)

Global food prices rose to a two-year high in April, a sign that tariff uncertainty is starting to put a squeeze on trade.

Tariff Concerns Drive Global Food Prices to Two-Year High (02.05.2025)

Global food prices rose to a two-year high in April, a sign that tariff uncertainty is starting to put a squeeze on trade.

Tariff Concerns Drive Global Food Prices to Two-Year High (02.05.2025)

Euro-Zone Inflation Holds Above Target as ECB Weighs Cuts (02.05.2025)

Euro-area inflation unexpectedly held steady and an underlying measure jumped in an awkward report for officials weighing how to respond to the economic hit from US tariffs.

Euro-Zone Inflation Holds Above Target as ECB Weighs Cuts (02.05.2025)

Fed’s Powell Is About to Defy Trump and Hold Rates Steady (03.05.2025)

Things are getting awkward for the Federal Reserve.

Fed’s Powell Is About to Defy Trump and Hold Rates Steady (03.05.2025)