#dWP-VW.THINKTANK I Q3/2026

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German Business Optimism Grows After Merz’s Spending Push (25.03.2025)

German business optimism rose to the highest level since June 2024 as Chancellor-in-waiting Friedrich Merz readies hundreds of billions of euros of spending to modernize the economy.

German Business Optimism Grows After Merz’s Spending Push (25.03.2025)

ECB Officials Signal Uncertainty on April Rate Decision (25.03.2025)

European Central Bank officials are playing for time on what to do at their next meeting, with Governing Council members from Estonia, Slovakia and Croatia highlighting the uncertainty created by global trade tensions.

ECB Officials Signal Uncertainty on April Rate Decision (25.03.2025)

Risks to Euro-Zone Economic Forecasts to the Downside, ECB's Escriva Says (24.03.2025)

Risks to euro-zone economic forecasts are more to the downside than the upside, according to European Central Bank Governing Council member Jose Luis Escriva.

Risks to Euro-Zone Economic Forecasts to the Downside, ECB's Escriva Says (24.03.2025)

Europe Economy: Euro Zone’s Private Sector Picks Up as Germany Fuels Recovery (24.03.2025)

Business activity in the euro area reached its highest level in seven months as manufacturers recovered more than expected ahead of a massive increase in German spending.

Europe Economy: Euro Zone’s Private Sector Picks Up as Germany Fuels Recovery (24.03.2025)

Is US Recession Concern Rising Under Trump’s Trade, Tariff Policies? (22.03.2025)

US economic data are diverging wildly, fueling a debate over whether rising anxiety from President Donald Trump’s trade policies will push a moderating economy into a serious downturn.

Is US Recession Concern Rising Under Trump’s Trade, Tariff Policies? (22.03.2025)

Fed Officials Echo Powell, Downplay Rising Price Expectations (21.03.2025)

Two Federal Reserve officials on Friday echoed comments from Chair Jerome Powell earlier this week, downplaying the recent rise in a key measure of long-term inflation expectations but emphasizing the outlook is highly uncertain.

Fed Officials Echo Powell, Downplay Rising Price Expectations (21.03.2025)

Trump Tariffs, Trade Wars Throw Central Banks From Fed to BOE Into Disarray (21.03.2025)

US President Donald Trump has already upended global trade and the postwar international security consensus. Now, he’s throwing central banking into disarray.

Trump Tariffs, Trade Wars Throw Central Banks From Fed to BOE Into Disarray (21.03.2025)

US President Donald Trump has already upended global trade and the postwar international security consensus. Now, he’s throwing central banking into disarray.

Trump Tariffs, Trade Wars Throw Central Banks From Fed to BOE Into Disarray (21.03.2025)

German lawmakers pass landmark spending package ending era of budget austerity (18.03.2025)

Euro zone inflation revised down as ECB ponders cut or pause (19.03.2025)

Fed March Decision: Officials Hold Rates, See Slower Growth and Higher Inflation (19.03.2025)

Federal Reserve officials held their benchmark interest rate steady for a second straight meeting, caught between mounting concerns that the economy is slowing and inflation could remain stubbornly high.

Fed March Decision: Officials Hold Rates, See Slower Growth and Higher Inflation (19.03.2025)

The Federal Reserve Is Driving Blind (19.03.2025)

The only thing Powell and Co. know for sure is that policy uncertainty is sky high.

The Federal Reserve Is Driving Blind (19.03.2025)

Lagarde says rising uncertainty means ECB can't commit on rates (20.03.2025)

Trump Calls on Fed to Cut Rates as Officials Weigh Economic Impact of Tariffs (20.03.2025)

President Donald Trump said the Federal Reserve should cut interest rates, splitting with the US central bank as officials weigh the economic cost of his tariff push.

Trump Calls on Fed to Cut Rates as Officials Weigh Economic Impact of Tariffs (20.03.2025)

FED-ZINSENTSCHEID I 19.03.25 I NOTIZEN MES.pdf

FOMC Press Conference March 19, 2025

HINWEIS: VIDEOAUSSCHNITTE ZUR ZINSENTSCHEIDUNG/-PROGNOSE 01:05:04 - Welcher Teil der Inflation ist von Zöllen? Ist die erhöhte Inflation 2025 von Zöllen vorübergehend oder bleibend? 01:19:50 - Ist das Risiko für eine Rezession gestiegen? 01:37:20 - Unsicherheit für Wirtschaftsprognosen ist gestiegen + Doch bereits Zinssenkungen im Mai 2025?

FOMC Press Conference March 19, 2025

Fomcprojtabl20250319

Fom cpresconf20250319

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ECB’s Guindos Sees Services Inflation Moving Toward Lower Levels (17.03.2025)

European Central Bank Vice President Luis de Guindos sees services inflation moderating, according to a radio interview with Onda Cero.

ECB’s Guindos Sees Services Inflation Moving Toward Lower Levels (17.03.2025)

ECB to Cut Rates by Less as Europe Ramps Up Spending, Poll Shows (17.03.2025)

The European Central Bank will lower borrowing costs two more times, according to analysts surveyed by Bloomberg who no longer expect interest rates to go below 2%.

ECB to Cut Rates by Less as Europe Ramps Up Spending, Poll Shows (17.03.2025)

Market indicator called dow theory is blaring an alarm for stocks (14.03.2025)

ECB’s Lagarde Warns of Trump's Tariffs, Trade War on Global Economy (14.03.2025)

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde warned that an escalation of disputes over trade levies kicked off by US President Donald Trump may have a detrimental effect on the world economy.

ECB’s Lagarde Warns of Trump's Tariffs, Trade War on Global Economy (14.03.2025)

ECB’s Wage Tracker Points to Steep Slowdown This Year (05.02.2025)

The European Central Bank’s main gauge of future euro-zone pay growth continued to signal a sharp slowdown in 2025, underpinning hopes for a further retreat in inflation that should allow more interest-rate cuts.

#ECB I EUROZONE

ECB’s Wage Tracker Points to Steep Slowdown This Year (05.02.2025)

US CPI for February: Inflation Lower Than Forecast, Offering Some Relief (12.03.2025)

US consumer prices rose at the slowest pace in four months in February, offering some reprieve after months of stalling inflation progress.

US CPI for February: Inflation Lower Than Forecast, Offering Some Relief (12.03.2025)

US Feb. CPI Report: Consumer Prices Seen Rising 0.3% After Hot Advance in Jan. (12.03.2025)

Economists forecast that US inflation probably stayed elevated last month after a large increase in January, adding to evidence that progress on taming prices has stalled.

US Feb. CPI Report: Consumer Prices Seen Rising 0.3% After Hot Advance in Jan. (12.03.2025)

Summers sees near 50 50 chance of recession hitting this year (11.03.2025)

Angst vor US-Rezession: Börsen sacken ab (10.03.2025)

The bond market s trump trade is looking like a recession trade (09.03.2025)

Trump says us economy faces transition avoids recession call (08.03.2025)